Bayesian model averaging Probabilistic climate change predictions applying
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References l.html#ref-list-1 http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/365/1857/2103.ful This article cites 24 articles, 1 of which can be accessed free Rapid response 1857/2103 http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/letters/submit/roypta;365/ Respond to this article Email alerting service here in the box at the top right-hand corner of the article or click Receive free email alerts when new articles cite this article sign up
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Probabilistic climate change predictions applying Bayesian model averaging.
This study explores the sensitivity of probabilistic predictions of the twenty-first century surface air temperature (SAT) changes to different multi-model averaging methods using available simulations from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change fourth assessment report. A way of observationally constrained prediction is provided by training multi-model simulations for the second half of...
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